Analysis

First, with the depressing news coming out of Spain, let's look at May. For 6 days of LID's there are 46, and 46 divided by .19 is 242 - meaning that if this 6 days kept up that rate for the whole month then our poll would have likely shown around 242 people for the month of May. Not sure about my math? Okay, divide 242 by 31 days in the month and then multiply by 6. Close enough? Anyway, if the assumption that May was evenly spread out is correct (and I'm not so sure it is) then that means that May must have been a LOT bigger than the other months. Which would be good, as that would (theoretically) mean that it won't take as long to get through them. But then, they did manage to do more than 6 days at a time for the rest of May, so I'm kind of doubting the rest of May was as big as the end of May. If ya'll will remember, when we did the poll by half months, all of the first halves were smaller than the second halves. My next step was to say, if they are going to do (based on our chart) 40 per month (since they aren't doing the 31st if Spain is right), then to extrapolate referrals based on that. But, this means that it will take them more than three months to get through June, and 2.8 months to get through July... I'm not going to keep going. That's just too depressing and can't possibly be right. Can Spain be right? Is there anyone out there who knows the LID dates for Spain? Maybe their next LID isn't until 6/15 or 6/20 or so, so they are just letting their 5/30 people know they will be the only ones getting referrals this time?